Abhi Ka Scene Kya Hai?
Points table ka latest jhalak, May 2025 ke end mein, jab league stage khatam hone wala hai:
- Gujarat Titans (GT):
- Matches Khele: 13
- Points: 18
- Net Run Rate (NRR): 0.867 (kaafi solid)
- Bacha Match: Chennai Super Kings (CSK) ke saath ghar pe
- Haal: GT ka position strong hai, lekin top-2 ke liye unhe apna last match jeetna zaroori hai, kyunki RCB aur PBKS unke peeche hain aur games bache hue hain.
- Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB):
- Matches Khele: 11
- Points: 16
- NRR: 0.482 (thik-thak)
- Bache Matches: Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) aur Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR), dono ghar pe
- Haal: RCB ek jeet se playoffs confirm kar sakta hai, aur do jeet unhe top-2 mein le ja sakti hai, agar baaki results unke favor mein rahe.
- Lucknow Super Giants (LSG):
- Matches Khele: 11
- Points: 10
- NRR: -0.469 (kaafi weak)
- Bache Matches: Punjab Kings (PBKS) se bahar, RCB se ghar pe, GT se bahar, SRH se ghar pe
- Haal: LSG ka form kharab hai, last 5 mein se 4 match haare. Unhe sab matches jeetne honge 16 points ke liye, lekin unka NRR unke khilaaf hai.
- Punjab Kings (PBKS):
- Matches Khele: 11
- Points: 15
- NRR: 1.274 (sabse mast)
- Bache Matches: LSG se ghar pe, Delhi Capitals (DC) se bahar
- Haal: PBKS ka top-2 ka chance solid hai, kyunki unka NRR zabardast hai.
2025 ke points table se pata chalta hai ki 18 points playoffs ke liye kaafi hain, lekin top-2 ke liye 20 points ya 18 points ke saath ekdum solid NRR chahiye, kyunki competition tight hai.
GT Kyun Chahta Hai LSG RCB Ko Hara De?
GT ke paas 18 points hain, lekin RCB (16 points, 2 matches bache) aur PBKS (15 points, 2 matches bache) unhe overtake kar sakte hain. Scene yeh hai:
- GT Ka Tension: Agar RCB apne dono matches (SRH aur KKR ke khilaaf) jeet jati hai, toh woh 20 points tak pahunch jayegi, aur GT ka max bhi 20 points hoga (agar woh CSK ko hara de). PBKS bhi dono matches jeetke 21 points tak ja sakta hai. GT ko top-2 ke liye chahiye ki RCB ya PBKS ek match haar jaye, taaki unka chance ban jaye.
- LSG vs RCB Ka Match: Yeh match (Match 59, Lucknow mein) bada game-changer hai. Agar LSG RCB ko hara deti hai, toh RCB max 18 points tak hi ja sakta hai (agar woh SRH ko jeete). Isse GT ka top-2 ka raasta khul jata hai, kyunki agar GT apna last match jeet jati hai, toh 20 points ke saath top-2 almost pakka. Aur agar GT haar bhi jati hai, toh unka NRR (0.867) RCB ke NRR (0.482) se better hai, jo tie mein kaam aayega.
Isliye GT LSG ke liye cheer kar raha hai, taaki RCB ke 20 points ke chances khatam ho aur GT ka top-2 ka sapna zinda rahe.
RCB Top-2 Mein Kaise Aayega?
RCB ke paas 16 points hain, aur do matches bache hain. Inke chances yeh hain:
- Dono Matches Jeetna (SRH aur KKR ke khilaaf):
- Kya Hoga: RCB 20 points tak jayega, 9 jeet ke saath.
- Matlab: Yeh almost top-2 confirm karega, kyunki sirf PBKS hi unhe cross kar sakta hai (21 points tak). GT bhi 20 points tak ja sakta hai, lekin RCB ka NRR (0.482) thoda kam hai GT ke (0.867) se, toh tie mein GT aage hoga. PBKS ke saath bhi NRR ka game hoga.
- Key Baat: RCB ka form shandaar hai, 6 match jeete back-to-back, aur 4 bade margin se. Chinnaswamy mein home advantage aur Virat Kohli, Phil Salt, Rajat Patidar, aur Liam Livingstone ki batting unhe mazboot rakhti hai.
- Ek Match Jeetna (SRH ya KKR ke khilaaf):
- Kya Hoga: RCB 18 points tak jayega, 8 jeet ke saath.
- Matlab: Top-2 ke liye thoda mushkil hoga, kyunki GT (CSK ke khilaaf jeetke) 20 points tak ja sakta hai, aur PBKS dono jeetke 19 ya 21 points tak. Top-2 ke liye RCB ko chahiye:
- GT CSK se haar jaye (taaki GT bhi 18 points pe rahe, aur RCB NRR ya wins ke basis pe aage nikle).
- PBKS ek match haar jaye (taaki woh 17 ya 19 points pe rahe).
- NRR Ka Khel: RCB ka NRR (0.482) GT aur PBKS se kam hai, toh unhe bade margin se jeetna hoga taaki NRR boost ho.
- Key Baat: Agar LSG se haar gaye, toh RCB ke paas sirf KKR ka match bachega. Josh Hazlewood aur Bhuvneshwar Kumar ki bowling ko tight rakhna hoga NRR ke liye.
- Dono Matches Haar Jao:
- Kya Hoga: RCB 16 points pe hi atak jayega.
- Matlab: Top-2 ka chance khatam, aur shayad Eliminator (3rd ya 4th spot) mein khelna pade. GT (18–20 points) aur PBKS (17–21 points) unhe overtake kar denge. 16 points ke saath bhi playoffs possible hai, lekin top-2 ke liye doosre results ka sahaara chahiye, jo mushkil hai.
GT Top-2 Mein Kaise Aayega?
GT ke paas 18 points hain, lekin RCB aur PBKS ke games bache hue hain. Inke chances:
- Last Match Jeetna (CSK ke khilaaf):
- Kya Hoga: GT 20 points tak jayega, 9 jeet ke saath.
- Matlab: Yeh top-2 ke liye kaafi hoga, kyunki sirf PBKS hi 21 points tak ja sakta hai. RCB bhi 20 points tak ja sakta hai, lekin GT ka NRR (0.867) RCB ke (0.482) se better hai, toh tie mein GT aage. GT ko chahiye ki RCB ya PBKS ek match haar jaye:
- Agar RCB LSG ya KKR se haar jati hai, toh woh 18 ya usse kam pe rahegi.
- Agar PBKS LSG ya DC se haar jati hai, toh woh 17 ya 19 points pe rahegi.
- Key Baat: GT ka home match CSK ke khilaaf hai, jahan unka record 4-1 hai. Jos Buttler, Sai Sudharsan, Shubman Gill ki batting aur Mohammed Siraj, Kagiso Rabada ki bowling unhe strong rakhti hai.
- Last Match Haar Jao (CSK ke khilaaf):
- Kya Hoga: GT 18 points pe atak jayega, 8 jeet ke saath.
- Matlab: Top-2 mushkil ho jayega, kyunki RCB (dono jeetke) 20 points aur PBKS (dono jeetke) 21 points tak ja sakte hain. GT ko chahiye:
- RCB LSG ya KKR se ek match haar jaye.
- PBKS LSG ya DC se ek match haar jaye.
- Unka NRR (0.867) tie mein kaam aayega, jaise RCB ya Mumbai Indians (MI) ke khilaaf.
- Key Baat: LSG se haarne ke baad GT ka momentum thoda down hai, toh CSK ke khilaaf jeetna zaroori hai. Unka NRR unka bada plus point hai.
LSG vs RCB Match Ka Asar
Yeh match dono teams ke liye game-changer hai:
- Agar LSG Jeeti:
- RCB Ke Liye: RCB max 18 points tak jayega (agar KKR ko jeete). Top-2 ke liye GT ka CSK se haarna aur PBKS ka ek match haarna zaroori hai, aur NRR ka khel bhi hoga. Yeh RCB ke liye bada jhatka hoga.
- GT Ke Liye: GT ka top-2 ka chance badh jayega. CSK ke khilaaf jeetke 20 points tak ja sakte hain, aur top-2 almost pakka, jab tak PBKS dono na jeete. Haar bhi gaye toh 18 points pe unka NRR RCB se better hai.
- LSG Ke Liye: LSG 12 points pe jayega, lekin playoffs ke liye unhe baaki dono matches (GT aur SRH) jeetne honge, aur unka NRR (-0.469) unke khilaaf hai, toh top-2 toh banta nahi.
- Agar RCB Jeeti:
- RCB Ke Liye: 18 points ho jayenge, aur KKR ko jeetke 20 points tak ja sakte hain. Agar GT CSK se haar jaye ya PBKS ek match haar jaye, toh top-2 ka chance solid hai. Bade margin se jeetne se NRR bhi boost hoga.
- GT Ke Liye: Top-2 ka raasta mushkil ho jayega, kyunki RCB 20 points tak ja sakta hai. GT ko CSK jeetna hoga aur PBKS ka ek match haarna chahiye. NRR unka trump card rahega.
- LSG Ke Liye: Playoffs ka chance almost khatam, kyunki 10 points pe rahenge aur 2 matches se max 14 points tak ja sakte hain, jo kaafi nahi.
Konse Matches Pe Nazar Rakhni Hai
LSG vs RCB ke alawa, yeh matches bhi top-2 ka scene decide karenge:
- GT vs CSK: GT ka last match, jo unke 20 points ya 18 points pe rehne ka faisla karega.
- PBKS vs LSG aur PBKS vs DC: PBKS ke results bade important hain, kyunki dono jeetke woh 21 points tak ja sakte hain, GT aur RCB ko peeche chhodke.
- RCB vs KKR aur RCB vs SRH: RCB ke home matches unhe 20 points tak le ja sakte hain aur NRR improve kar sakte hain.
Final Baat
- RCB Ka Plan: Dono matches (SRH aur KKR) jeeto, 20 points pakke, aur top-2 almost confirm, jab tak PBKS 21 points na chhu le. Ek jeet bhi kaam chal sakti hai, agar GT aur PBKS ek-ek match haar jayein, lekin NRR ka game hoga. RCB ka form aur home advantage unka bada plus hai.
- GT Ka Plan: CSK ke khilaaf jeeto, 20 points pakke, aur RCB ya PBKS ke ek match haarne ka wait karo. Agar haar gaye, toh RCB aur PBKS ke ek-ek match haarne ka sahaara chahiye, aur unka NRR unhe bacha sakta hai.
- Kyun GT LSG Ke Saath Hai: LSG agar RCB ko hara deti hai, toh RCB max 18 points pe atak jayega, aur GT ka top-2 ka chance mazboot ho jayega, chaahe woh CSK ko jeetein ya NRR ke dum pe.
