England ka pehla ODI mein 238-run ka dhamaka, solid batting, aur ghar ka maidaan unhe favorite banata hai

bySunil Joseph
June 6, 2025

Match ka Scene:

  • Teams: England vs West Indies
  • Jagah: Sophia Gardens, Cardiff
  • Date & Time: June 1, 2025, 11:00 AM LOCAL (10:00 AM GMT)
  • Series ka Jhol: Yeh doosra ODI hai West Indies ke England tour ka. Pehla match England ne Edgbaston mein 238 run se jeeta, 400/8 banaye aur West Indies ko 162 pe out kar diya. Series mein 1-0 se aage hain.
  • Mausam: Mostly dhoop aur hawa ka scene, 4% baarish ka chance, 20% baadal, 68% humidity, aur hawa 57 kmph tak. Temp 14–20°C.
  • Pitch ka Funda: Sophia Gardens ki pitch balanced hai, bowlers ko thodi help milti hai. Average first innings score 241, last 10 games mein sirf do baar 300+ score bana. Chase karne wali team ne 27 mein se 18 ODI jeete, toh pehle bowling karna better lagta hai.

Step 1: Teams ka Analysis aur Form

England

  • Taza Performance: England ne pehla ODI mein West Indies ko dhoya, poora batting line-up chala (sab top 7 ne 30+ banaye, ODI history mein pehli baar). Jacob Bethell ne 82 off 53 maara, teen aur players ne fifty lagayi. Saqib Mahmood aur Jamie Overton ne teen-teen wicket liye.
  • Strengths:
    • Batting solid hai – Harry Brook (captain), Joe Root, Jos Buttler, Ben Duckett, aur Jamie Smith. Duckett (60 off 48) aur Bethell full form mein.
    • Bowling mein variety – Adil Rashid ka spin (150th ODI khela pehle match mein) aur Saqib Mahmood, Brydon Carse jaisi pace.
    • Ghar ka maidaan, Sophia Gardens ka pura idea hai.
  • Weaknesses:
    • Pehla ODI jeetne se pehle, England 7 ODI haar chuka tha. 2023 World Cup ke baad 26 mein sirf 9 jeete.
    • Jofra Archer, Gus Atkinson, Mark Wood injured hain, aur Jamie Overton bhi pehle match mein chotil ho sakta hai.
  • Key Players:
    • Ben Duckett: 12 ODI innings mein 60 ka average, 140 off 134 vs Zimbabwe, 60 off 48 pehle ODI mein.
    • Jacob Bethell: Pehle ODI ka Player of the Match, 82 off 53, IPL ka experience kaam aaya.
    • Adil Rashid: Spin ka boss, Cardiff ki pitch pe kamaal karega.
    • Harry Brook: Aggressive captain, 72 off 52 vs Australia recently.

West Indies

  • Taza Performance: Pehle ODI mein 162 pe out ho gaye, England ke bowlers ne dhulai ki. Ireland tour mein mixed scene – pehle ODI mein 179 pe out, par doosre do matches mein 352/8 aur 385/7 banaye, phir Edgbaston mein phir se flop.
  • Strengths:
    • Batting mein dum – Evin Lewis (102* vs Sri Lanka, 176* vs England 2017 mein) aur Keacy Carty (last 10 ODIs mein 679 runs, 89 ka average).
    • Alzarri Joseph aur Gudakesh Motie ki bowling, pehle England series mein Motie ne 4 wicket liye.
  • Weaknesses:
    • Sherfane Rutherford aur Romario Shepherd IPL ke chakkar mein nahi hain, batting aur bowling dono weak.
    • Batting mein consistency nahi, Edgbaston mein toot gaye.
    • ODI rankings mein 9th (rating 81), England 8th (rating 84) pe.
  • Key Players:
    • Keacy Carty: Full form mein, Ireland ke khilaaf 102 aur 170 banaye.
    • Evin Lewis: Opener, England ke khilaaf bade runs ka history.
    • Gudakesh Motie: Left-arm spinner, Cardiff mein England ko pareshan kar sakta hai.
    • Shai Hope: Captain aur solid batter, 51.52 ka ODI average, North Sound pe last 4 matches mein do century, do fifty.

Head-to-Head

  • England 109 ODIs mein 55–48 se aage. Par last 7 matches mein West Indies ne 4 jeete, 2023 mein 2-1 se series bhi li.
  • England mein West Indies 47 ODIs mein 25–18 se aage, par last 28 ODIs mein England ne 21 jeete.

Step 2: Betting Markets ka Scene

Web aur X posts ke data se yeh betting markets ka funda:

  • Match Odds:
    • England favorite hai, 84% chance bookies ke hisaab se.
    • X pe kuch log West Indies pe laga rahe hain, odds 4.00 ya 5.0 ke aaspaas, unka batting aur England ka recent ODI form dekhke.
  • Top Batsman:
    • England: Jamie Smith pehle ODI mein 15/2 odds pe sabse zyada backed, par Ben Duckett (60 in 1st ODI, 165 vs Australia) solid hai.
    • West Indies: Keacy Carty (679 runs in 10 ODIs) aur Evin Lewis bade match ka player.
  • Top Bowler:
    • England: Adil Rashid ka spin aur Saqib Mahmood (3 wickets pehle ODI mein) top picks.
    • West Indies: Gudakesh Motie (4 wickets 2024 series ke pehle match mein) aur Alzarri Joseph.
  • Player Performance Bets:
    • Shai Hope 50+ runs @ 13/8 odds, uska ODI record aur venue form dekhke.
    • Jacob Bethell aur Evin Lewis 1+ six, dono power-hitters (Bethell ne pehle ODI mein team ke saath 11 sixes maare).
  • Toss Prediction:
    • Toss jeetne wali team shayad pehle bowling karegi, Cardiff mein chase karna better hai (18/27 jeete).

Step 3: Betting ka Plan

Budget: Maan lo £100 ka budget hai. Alag-alag markets mein paisa laga ke risk kam karo aur value badhao. Responsible betting karo, budget se zyada na lagao.

  1. Match Winner Bet (40% budget: £40)
    • Bet: England jeetega @ 1.50 odds (lagbhag, 84% chance ke hisaab se).
    • Wajah: Pehle ODI mein England ne dhulai ki, ghar ka maidaan, aur team mein depth. West Indies ka batting inconsistent hai aur players missing hain. Unka upset chance hai, par England ka batting (400 in 1st ODI) aur bowling zyada solid.
    • Return: £40 x 1.50 = £60 (profit £20).
  2. Top England Batsman (20% budget: £20)
    • Bet: Ben Duckett top England batsman @ 3.50 odds (form ke hisaab se).
    • Wajah: Duckett ne pehle ODI mein 60 off 48 aur Australia ke khilaaf 165 banaye. 60 ka ODI average, Jamie Smith se zyada safe.
    • Return: £20 x 3.50 = £70 (profit £50).
  3. Top West Indies Batsman (20% budget: £20)
    • Bet: Keacy Carty top West Indies batsman @ 4.00 odds (form ke hisaab se).
    • Wajah: Carty ne 10 ODIs mein 679 runs banaye (average 89), Ireland ke khilaaf 102 aur 170. Pehle ODI mein jaldi out hua, par ab bada score expected.
    • Return: £20 x 4.00 = £80 (profit £60).
  4. Player Performance: Shai Hope 50+ Runs (10% budget: £10)
    • Bet: Shai Hope 50+ runs @ 13/8 (1.625) odds.
    • Wajah: Hope ka 51.52 ka ODI average aur similar venues pe zabardast record (North Sound pe last 4 matches mein do century, do fifty).
    • Return: £10 x 1.625 = £16.25 (profit £6.25).
  5. Most Sixes (10% budget: £10)
    • Bet: Jacob Bethell 1+ six @ 1.80 odds (estimated).
    • Wajah: Bethell ne pehle ODI mein 82 off 53 maara, England ne 11 sixes lagaye. Cardiff ki pitch pe bhi six maar sakta hai.
    • Return: £10 x 1.80 = £18 (profit £8).

Step 4: Predicted Winner aur Key Bets

Predicted Winner: England

  • England ka pehla ODI mein 238-run ka dhamaka, solid batting, aur ghar ka maidaan unhe favorite banata hai. West Indies ke players missing hain aur batting mein consistency nahi. 2023 series jeetne ka chance tha, par Cardiff mein England ka haath upar.

Key Bets:

  1. England jeetega (£40 @ 1.50) – Safe bet, form aur team ke hisaab se.
  2. Ben Duckett top England batsman (£20 @ 3.50) – Consistent aur in-form.
  3. Keacy Carty top West Indies batsman (£20 @ 4.00) – Recent runs ka dhamaka.
  4. Shai Hope 50+ runs (£10 @ 1.625) – ODI record ke hisaab se value.
  5. Jacob Bethell 1+ six (£10 @ 1.80) – Cardiff mein power-hitting ka chance.

Step 5: Risk ka Scene aur Responsible Betting

  • Budget: £100 mein rehna, losses ke peeche mat bhaagna.
  • Research: Odds aur predictions May 31, 2025 tak ke data pe hain. Match ke din team lineups aur toss check karo, kyunki bowling first ka faida ho sakta hai.
  • Odds ke Sources: Bet365, BetMGM, ya LiveScore Bet jaise trusted sites se odds check karo.
  • Responsible Gambling: Betting addictive ho sakta hai. Deposit limits set karo, break lo, aur BeGambleAware ya Gamcare se help lo agar zarurat ho.

Step 6: Match Kahan Dekhein

  • India: Sony Sports Network pe live, Sony LIV ya FanCode pe streaming.
  • UK: Sky Cricket pe TV, Sky platforms pe streaming.

Final Baat

Yeh plan safe bets (England jeetega) aur value bets (Carty, Hope, Bethell) ka mix hai, form, venue, aur head-to-head data ke basis pe. West Indies upset kar sakta hai, par England ka batting aur Cardiff ka scene unke favor mein. Team news (jaise Overton ki injury) aur toss ka result dekho, kyunki pehle bowling ka faida ho sakta hai.

Total Potential Return (agar sab bets jeete): £60 + £70 + £80 + £16.25 + £18 = £244.25 (profit £144.25 on £100 stake).

Disclaimer: Odds estimated hain, bookies se check karo. Responsible betting karo, apna budget sambhalo.

Padhte raho