England favorite hai 1/2 odds pe (66.67% chance), West Indies 5.0 pe (20% chance)

bySunil Joseph
June 6, 2025

Analysis

Team ka Scene

  • England:
    • England ne pehle ODI mein West Indies ko 238 runs se dhul chatai, 400/8 ka score thoka. Jacob Bethell ne 82 off 53 maare, aur Harry Brook (captain) ne 5 catches pakde, ekdum boss style mein.
    • Batting lineup solid hai – Brook, Joe Root, Jos Buttler, Ben Duckett, Jamie Smith, aur all-rounders Jacob Bethell, Will Jacks. Adil Rashid spinner hai, 150 ODI khel chuka.
    • Lekin England ka ODI form thoda thanda raha hai, 7 match haar chuke the pehle ODI jeetne se pehle. 2025 Champions Trophy mein bhi 0-3 se group stage mein bahar hue.
    • 2nd ODI mein (Cardiff, June 1, 2025), England ne 3 catches drop kiye, fielding thodi loose thi. West Indies 116/1 tha 21 overs mein, toh match tight laga.
    • England ka ODI rank 8th hai (rating 84), thoda shaky scene.
  • West Indies:
    • Pehla ODI mein West Indies ko buri tarah hara, 162 pe out hue 401 chase karte waqt. Jayden Seales (29, No. 11) top scorer tha, aur Evin Lewis chotil ho gaya.
    • 2nd ODI mein fight dikhayi, Brandon King aur Keacy Carty ne fifties maari, century partnership bhi banayi.
    • Recent form mein 2024 mein Sri Lanka se 2-1 se series haare, Ireland ke saath draw kiya. Shai Hope (captain), Evin Lewis, Alzarri Joseph form mein hain. Lewis ne Sri Lanka ke khilaaf century (102* off 61) thoki.
    • West Indies ka rank 9th hai (rating 81), England se thoda peeche.
    • Sherfane Rutherford aur Romario Shepherd (IPL ke chakkar mein) nahi khel rahe, batting aur bowling thodi kamzor. Shimron Hetmyer aur Jediah Blades replacements hain.

Head-to-Head ka Hisaab

  • England ka ODI record West Indies ke khilaaf 53-46 hai. Last 15 saal mein 28 ODIs mein se 21 jeete.
    • West Indies ne 2023 mein Caribbean mein 2-1 se series jeeti thi, toh unka bhi dum hai.
    • England mein ya neutral venues pe West Indies ne 2007 ke baad koi bilateral ODI series nahi jeeti.

Venue ka Funda: Kennington Oval, London

  • Oval ka pitch batting ke liye mast hai, bade scores bante hain. England ne 2015 mein 408/9 banaye the yahan.
  • Spinners ko thodi help milti hai, Adil Rashid aur Gudakesh Motie ka kaam ban sakta hai.
  • Mausam thoda English wala (baarish ka chance), lekin pehle ODI mein barish ka zyada issue nahi tha, yahan bhi shayad clear ho.

Players pe Nazar

  • England:
    • Harry Brook: Har match mein solid, 2023 series mein 71 aur 43*, 2024 mein Australia ke khilaaf 72 off 52. Top batter pick, 26.5 runs ke upar 1.89 odds.
    • Jacob Bethell: Naya star, pehle ODI mein 82 off 53. Sixes maarne ka chance solid.
    • Adil Rashid: Spin ka boss, Oval pe kaam karega. Top bowler pick.
    • Phil Salt aur Will Jacks: Opening mein aggressive, powerplay mein bade runs bana sakte hain (England ne 2023 mein first 5 overs mein 35.5+ runs maare).
  • West Indies:
    • Evin Lewis: 2024 series mein 94, Sri Lanka ke khilaaf 102*. Top scorer ke liye 9/2 odds, zabardast bet.
    • Shai Hope: Consistent, 2024 series mein 123 runs, 2nd ODI mein 117.
    • Gudakesh Motie: 2024 mein 8 wickets (economy 4.23). Spinner hai, top bowler pick.
    • Alzarri Joseph: England ke khilaaf 13 wickets in 6 ODIs, ek baar 5-wicket haul bhi.

Betting Odds aur Market ka Scene

  • Match Winner:
    • England favorite hai 1/2 odds pe (66.67% chance), West Indies 5.0 pe (20% chance).
    • X pe log bol rahe hain West Indies pe value hai, kyunki unka batting flat pitch pe chalta hai.
  • Aur Markets:
    • West Indies Most Sixes: 11/4 odds, unke aggressive batsmen ke wajah se.
    • England Over 30.5 Fours: West Indies ka bowling thoda loose, Oval ka pitch boundary-friendly.
    • 10+ Wickets Caught: England aur West Indies ke recent matches mein catches zyada (17 aur 11 catches in England ke last 5 ODIs). 1.1-point stake daal sakte hain.
    • Top Batter: Harry Brook (over 26.5 runs, 1.89 odds) aur Evin Lewis (top scorer, 9/2) solid picks.
    • Top Bowler: Adil Rashid aur Gudakesh Motie, spin-friendly pitch pe best bets.

Series ka Scene

  • England ne pehla ODI jeeta, series lead mein hain. 2nd ODI tight tha (West Indies 116/1 after 21 overs), par result clear nahi.
  • Agar England ne 2nd ODI jeeta, toh 3-0 se series le jayenge. Agar West Indies jeeta, toh yeh decider hai, aur unka josh high hoga.

Betting Plan

1. Match Winner: England Jeetega (Chhota Stake)

  • Odds: 1/2 (BetMGM ya koi aur)
  • Kyun: England ka pehla ODI mein dhoom, batting ka dum, aur home ground pe record (2007 ke baad West Indies se nahi haare) unko favorite banata hai. Oval ka pitch unke aggressive batting ke liye perfect. Par West Indies ka 2023 series win aur 2nd ODI form thodi hawa tight karta hai, toh chhota stake daal.
  • Stake: 1 unit (jaise $10, return $5).

2. Top Batter: Harry Brook Over 26.5 Runs (Medium Stake)

  • Odds: 1.89 (Cricbaba ya similar)
  • Kyun: Brook ka form mast hai (2023 mein 71 aur 43*, 2024 mein 72 off 52). Captain hai, No. 4 pe khelta hai, aur Oval ka pitch uske style ke liye perfect.
  • Stake: 2 units (jaise $20, return $17.80).

3. Top Batter: Evin Lewis West Indies ka Top Scorer (Chhota Stake)

  • Odds: 9/2 (Bet365 ya similar)
  • Kyun: Lewis ka recent form (94 in 2024, 102* vs Sri Lanka) aur England ke khilaaf record (176* at Oval in 2017) usko value bet banata hai. Pehle ODI mein injury thi, par 2nd ODI fifty se lagta hai fit hai.
  • Stake: 0.5 units (jaise $5, return $22.50).

4. Most Sixes: West Indies (Chhota Stake)

  • Odds: 11/4 (Bet365)
  • Kyun: West Indies ke batsmen (Lewis, Hope, Hetmyer) aggressive hain, flat pitch pe sixes thok sakte hain. England ka bowling 2nd ODI mein thoda weak laga, catches bhi drop kiye.
  • Stake: 0.5 units (jaise $5, return $13.75).

5. Top Bowler: Gudakesh Motie (Medium Stake)

  • Odds: Nahi diya, assume ~3/1
  • Kyun: Motie ka economy (4.23) aur 8 wickets in 2024 ODIs usko solid pick banate hain. Oval pe spin ko help milti hai, pace bowlers se zyada chance.
  • Stake: 1.5 units (jaise $15, return $45).

6. Over 30.5 Fours for England (Medium Stake)

  • Odds: Nahi diya, assume ~2/1
  • Kyun: England ke openers (Salt, Jacks, Duckett) aggressive hain, aur West Indies ka bowling (jaise Seales 4/84 in 1st ODI) boundaries deta hai. Oval ka pitch fours ke liye perfect.
  • Stake: 1.5 units (jaise $15, return $30).

Total Stake: 7 units (jaise $70) Possible Return: Har bet ke hisaab se, max ~$134.05 agar sab jeet gaye (example stakes aur odds pe).

Prediction

  • Winner: England
    • England ka batting, home advantage, aur pehla ODI ka performance unko aage rakhta hai. Oval ka pitch unke bade hitters ke liye perfect. West Indies ke players missing (Rutherford, Shepherd) aur Lewis ka injury risk unko peeche rakhta hai.
  • Series ka Result: Agar England ne 2nd ODI jeeta, toh 3-0 se series khatam. Agar West Indies jeeta, toh England phir bhi 2-1 se jeet sakta hai, kyunki squad aur venue unke favor mein.
  • Key Factors: England ka top order (Brook, Buttler, Bethell) aur Adil Rashid ka spin West Indies ko dabayega. West Indies ka game Lewis aur Hope pe depend hai, par bowling mein dum kam.

Responsible Gambling ka Funda

  • Sirf utna paisa laga jo haarne ka risk le sakte ho. Budget fix karo (jaise $70) aur usse zyada mat jao. Betting sites pe deposit limit ya time-out options use karo. Agar help chahiye, toh BeGambleAware ya Gamcare se baat karo.
  • Odds aur team lineup match ke din badal sakte hain, toh final lineups aur live betting check karo.

Sources

  • Web: ESPNcricinfo, Oddspedia, Cricketworld, TheTopBookies, Independent
  • X Posts: @ESPNcricinfo, @Noname_Squad_, @BTips4you, @HitRateBets, @Bettingetc, @win_tips

Yeh plan safe bets (England win, Brook runs) aur value bets (Lewis, West Indies sixes) ka mix hai, venue aur player form ke hisaab se. Odds aur team news match se pehle confirm kar lena, bhai.

Padhte raho